Turkish newspaper loyal to the ruling (AKP) party quoted an article written by journalist Hassan Basri Yalchen, who is known for his writings close to the Turkish decision source. The article revealed the new Turkish strategy to confront SDF east of the Euphrates, especially after the failure of the military plan aimed at launching a military operation and a ground invasion, as was done in Afrin, against the backdrop of the position shown by the United States and the international coalition on its commitment to protect its allies in SDF against any external threat from the “vicious”, according to the spokesman of the US Central Command (CENTCOM), Colonel Sean Ryan, who said that the US forces began several days ago patrolling along the north-eastern border of Syria to “confront the threats of the vicious players in the area.”
Article text:
Turkey’s progress in the Syrian arena has been broadened by developments in recent times, as Turkey is getting positive results by continuing to stress and this situation seems to continue in the coming stages as well.
We have witnessed significant developments during the last week, the first being the launch of joint military patrols in Manbij, as America has been trying to waste time since the start of the agreement, but with the holding of the four-way summit in Istanbul, America has had to take a concrete step in this regard, but it can be said that cooperation The Turkish-American has not reached the expected level so far, and America seems to be trying to distract Turkey in rural areas for a long time, but the very beginning of this stage is an important development in the mentioned context.
The second development is the positive progress that has been made in the context of the blockade of Iran, as Turkey is particularly disturbed by the issue of the importation of natural gas, and we seem to have gone beyond this problem, but it cannot be confirmed because there is a possibility of the return of the American side to use harsh methods toward Iran, but it is clear that the decision of the last waiver will be an appropriate ground for finding a solution to all the problems we will see in the next phase.
We can see positive developments similar to the latter between Turkey and America in the near future, and in any case the tension in the framework of the Turkish-American relations has exceeded its natural intensity, and that the arrival of tension to this degree will not benefit any part, but at the same time no one can expected that all problems will be resolved together in the near future, because America pursues a policy of high susceptibility to crisis creation, and therefore needs to be prepared for new problems.
In the current situation, Eastern Euphrates is the most important issue for Turkey, which will come at the top of the Turkish agenda following the completion of the Manbij issue, but simultaneously, America continues to evade negotiations with Turkey on the issue of PYD, because Washington has not discovered a new destination in this regard, looking at the amount of weapons that America has sent to the region, its training of PYD elements and the establishment of military bases in the region, we can understand that Washington has no prospect of abandoning the region and PYD simply.
To take such a step, America must change its list of priorities in foreign policy, but we do not expect such a change at the moment, as America’s attempts to put pressure on Iran have been limited by the economic embargo, that is, Washington has not already targeted Tehran on the ground, nor has it moved America to new circumstances may force Turkey to seek support from America, and for as long as it has not initiated this transition, it will have to be concerned to maintain its current gains.
Turkey is very serious about the East Euphrates issue, and the possibility of carrying out a military operation in the region is declared by the Turkish Supreme reviewer in the clearest possible form, and no one ignores that America’s presence and support for terrorist organizations in eastern Euphrates may increase the cost of the military operation and its difficulty, and certainly Turkey will enter the east of the Euphrates one day, but it will not rush to do so, which is why Turkey is only following the siege strategy at the moment.
The best option for Turkey in the current situation seems to be to apply a long-term blockade on Democratic Union Party (PYD) areas and carry out secret military operations in order to weaken the organization’s fork, in fact this strategy is neither new nor unknown, as America has followed the same strategy towards The Soviet Union during the Cold War era, and waited for the collapse of the Soviet Union from within, Turkey can apply the strategy mentioned in the region with some modifications and additions.
The continuation of the besieged PYD in a land-locked area is not easy, but in order to implement a complete blockade, Iraqi politics must also intervene, and if a government is established in Iraq, Turkey can negotiate with the Iraqi government to take important steps to prevent the crossing of terrorist elements from J Qandil and Sinjar to Syrian territory, thus the blockade will be complete and from all sides, and according mentioned reasons, it can be said that the focus on this strategy is the best option at the moment.
